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COF

Capital One Financial Corp

BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 209.01 Financial Services - Financial - Credit ServicesAWAIT ENTRY
72

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 209.01
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 188.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 235.00
Thesis breakA material adverse regulatory action by the Federal Reserve that restricts capit...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case40%100 / 10040.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case10%10 / 1001.0
Weighted conviction72 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • M&A activity: recent acquisition of Discover and agreement to acquire Brex
  • Earnings beat: Q2 2026 adjusted EPS $5.81 topping estimates with $3.0B net income and reduced credit losses
  • Strong loan growth reported in Q2 2026
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.