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LON:CMCL

Caledonia Mining Corporation PLC

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-13 Market data 2 days old 1500.00p Basic Materials - GoldAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
1500.00p
Buy <=wait / entry
1450.00p
Trim >=take some off
2050.00p
Thesis breakA material adverse change to Caledonia's economic interest in Blanket Mine under...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 FY26 earnings beat with revenue +16% YoY to $75.9M and profit after tax +27% to $30M
  • Newly identified gold zone discovery at Blanket Mine with potential for lower-cost heap leach operation
  • Reaffirmed full-year 2026 production guidance of 72,000 - 76,500 ounces after stronger Q2 output
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

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