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NYSE:AI

C3.ai Inc Class A

SPECULATIVE BUY 2026-08-09 Data 14 days old USD 10.22 Technology - Software - ApplicationREDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
49

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 10.22
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 6.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 9.00
Thesis breakA confirmed dilutive equity raise, a strengthened going-concern qualification in...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case16%100 / 10016.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case36%10 / 1003.6
Weighted conviction49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY

Top risks

  • FY2026 revenue contraction of 35.7% YoY to $250.27M due to shift to consumption-based partner-led model
  • Q3 FY2026 earnings miss with revenue $53.3M vs $75.6M estimate and EPS -$0.40 vs -$0.29 estimate
  • Operating loss of $498.5M and net loss of $470.4M with cash of only $66.2M
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.