LON:BUR
Burford Capital Limited
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
262.20p
Buy <=wait / entry
220.00p
Trim >=take some off
280.00p
Thesis breakA sequence of material adverse judgments or settlements that drives substantial ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 20% | 100 / 100 | 20.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 30% | 10 / 100 | 3.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 54 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Completion of share repurchase program (475,000 shares for $3.9 million)
- Substantial share purchases by Burford executive officers
- Upcoming 3Q26 financial results release and conference call on November 4, 2026