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LON:BUR

Burford Capital Limited

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today 300.60p Financial Services - Asset ManagementAWAIT ENTRY
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
300.60p
Buy <=wait / entry
266.67p
Trim >=take some off
360.00p
Thesis breakA publicly disclosed material adverse outcome on a concentrated Burford position...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • New definitive commitments up 39% in FY25 with portfolio modeled realizations increasing $700 million to $5.2 billion
  • FY25 annual earnings of 0.280 per share and declaration of $0.0625 final dividend
  • Q1 2026 reported loss of 7.46 per share
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.