AVGO
Broadcom Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 427.76
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 356.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 470.00
Thesis breakA material delay or scope reduction to the disclosed Apple supply agreement, dec...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 17% | 100 / 100 | 17.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 34% | 10 / 100 | 3.4 |
| Weighted conviction | 51 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- $30 billion multi-year chip supply agreement with Apple extending collaboration to 2031
- Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue of $22.187 billion (up 48% YoY) with Non-GAAP EPS of $2.44 beating estimates
- Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue guidance of $29.4 billion (up 84% YoY)