AVGO
Broadcom Inc
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 389.28
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 298.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 395.00
Thesis breakLoss of a named hyperscaler custom ASIC programme, Apple failing to take up the ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 17% | 100 / 100 | 17.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 34% | 10 / 100 | 3.4 |
| Weighted conviction | 51 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- $30 billion multi-year chip supply agreement with Apple extending collaboration to 2031
- Q2 2026 revenue of $22.19B (48% YoY growth) with adjusted EPS of $2.44 beating estimates
- Q3 2026 revenue guidance of $29.4B (84% YoY) and reiterated AI semiconductor sales momentum