AVGO
Broadcom Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 364.36
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 306.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 400.00
Thesis breakThe thesis is invalidated if a top-five hyperscaler publicly in-sources a previo...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 37% | 100 / 100 | 37.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 13% | 10 / 100 | 1.3 |
| Weighted conviction | 69 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q3 FY26 earnings beat with actual EPS +3.32 vs estimate +3.24, revenue 29.59B and profit margin 44.23%
- Q4 FY26 consolidated revenue growth guidance of +93% YoY and non-GAAP operating income guidance provided
- Analyst consensus Strong Buy with recent Overweight initiation from Piper Sandler at PT 460 and average PT 527.20