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BKNG

Booking Holdings Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 214.42 Consumer Cyclical - Travel ServicesAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 214.42
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 180.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 230.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive quarters of negative room-night growth, a guidance cut at the ne...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case32%100 / 10032.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q1 earnings beat with room nights up 9% YoY to 285 million and gross bookings up 16%
  • Revenue up 16% YoY and adjusted EBITDA up 19% to $2.2 billion with margin expansion from transformation savings
  • Adjusted EPS up 17% to $48.8 with 3% share count reduction
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.