BKNG
Booking Holdings Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 161.20
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 125.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 165.00
Thesis breakSustained room-night growth below 5%, a material regulatory charge or margin com...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 32% | 100 / 100 | 32.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 19% | 10 / 100 | 1.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 EPS beat of 2.54 vs consensus 2.43 on revenue of 7.35B
- Room night growth decelerated to 5% in Q2 2026 from 9% prior quarter due to Middle East conflict
- Upcoming Q3 2026 earnings on Nov 3 2026 with consensus EPS forecast 4.49