BA
Boeing Co
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 216.14
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 190.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 230.00
Thesis breakA material new fleet quality or safety incident triggering fresh FAA production ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 17% | 100 / 100 | 17.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 34% | 10 / 100 | 3.4 |
| Weighted conviction | 51 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- 7-year framework agreement with U.S. Department of War to triple PAC-3 seeker production
- MUOS Service Life Extension contract valued at up to $2B for two narrowband satellites
- MQ-28 Ghost Bat CCA integrations into Exercise Valiant Shield 2026 and expanded German industry team with Diehl Defence and Rohde & Schwarz