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BOO

Bloomin' Brands Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today EUR 7.68 REDUCE ZONE
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
EUR 7.68
Buy <=wait / entry
EUR 5.93
Trim >=take some off
EUR 7.40
Thesis breakQ2 2026 EPS missing the USD 0.270 guide combined with a cut to FY 2026 EPS guida...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q1 2026 U.S. comparable restaurant sales turned positive at 0.9% versus -0.5% in Q1 2025
  • Earnings beat expectations with stock surging 38% post Q1 2026 results
  • Full-year 2026 guidance reiterated for U.S. comparable restaurant sales growth of 0.5% to 2.5%
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