BOO
Bloomin' Brands Inc
Position levels
Currenttoday
EUR 7.68
Buy <=wait / entry
EUR 5.93
Trim >=take some off
EUR 7.40
Thesis breakQ2 2026 EPS missing the USD 0.270 guide combined with a cut to FY 2026 EPS guida...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q1 2026 U.S. comparable restaurant sales turned positive at 0.9% versus -0.5% in Q1 2025
- Earnings beat expectations with stock surging 38% post Q1 2026 results
- Full-year 2026 guidance reiterated for U.S. comparable restaurant sales growth of 0.5% to 2.5%