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BOO

Bloomin' Brands Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old EUR 9.31 AWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
54

Position levels

Currenttoday
EUR 9.31
Buy <=wait / entry
EUR 7.40
Trim >=take some off
EUR 9.80
Thesis breakThe thesis breaks if FY 2026 EPS guidance is cut below USD 0.75, same-restaurant...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case19%100 / 10019.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case30%10 / 1003.0
Weighted conviction54 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Raised full-year fiscal 2026 EPS guidance to $0.90-$1.00 vs consensus $0.87
  • U.S. comparable restaurant sales turned positive at 0.9% in Q1 2026
  • Leveraged balance sheet risk from SEC filing disclosures
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.