BKSY
Blacksky Technology Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 29.16
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 19.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 28.00
Thesis breakA material SEC-disclosed revenue miss against the prior-year quarter, loss of a ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 19% | 100 / 100 | 19.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 32% | 10 / 100 | 3.2 |
| Weighted conviction | 53 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Awarded eight-figure NRO contract to accelerate Gen-3 capabilities
- $25 million multi-year assured contract with major international defense customer
- $60 million in new contracts secured in Q1 2026 as Gen-3 pilots converted to subscriptions