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BLK

BlackRock Inc

BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 1090.39 Financial Services - Asset ManagementAWAIT ENTRY
66

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 1090.39
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 1010.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 1140.00
Thesis breakA material impairment of GIP goodwill, a sustained period of net AUM outflows ac...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case16%10 / 1001.6
Weighted conviction66 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • M&A activity: BlackRock acquisition of GIP for $3B cash plus ~12M shares, creating $150B+ infrastructure platform
  • Earnings growth: Consistent EPS beats with Q2 2026 at 13.91 vs forecast 12.69 and YoY increases across recent quarters
  • Analyst consensus: Buy rating from 17 of 18 analysts with average price target $1,304.29 implying 19%+ upside
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