BLK
BlackRock Inc
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 1090.39
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 1010.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 1140.00
Thesis breakA material impairment of GIP goodwill, a sustained period of net AUM outflows ac...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 66 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity: BlackRock acquisition of GIP for $3B cash plus ~12M shares, creating $150B+ infrastructure platform
- Earnings growth: Consistent EPS beats with Q2 2026 at 13.91 vs forecast 12.69 and YoY increases across recent quarters
- Analyst consensus: Buy rating from 17 of 18 analysts with average price target $1,304.29 implying 19%+ upside