BB
BlackBerry Ltd
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 8.50
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 6.50
Trim >=take some off
USD 10.50
Thesis breakVeritas takeover fails to close without an alternative strategic outcome, or two...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 13% | 100 / 100 | 13.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 38% | 10 / 100 | 3.8 |
| Weighted conviction | 47 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY | ||
Top risks
- Strategic partnership with The IP Company to integrate SecuSUITE for naval and military secure communications up to Secret/Top Secret
- Expanded Government of Canada SecuSUITE contract deployment
- Veritas Capital takeover offer for BlackBerry Ltd