BRK.B
Berkshire Hathaway Inc Class B
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 521.80
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 468.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 545.00
Thesis breakA sustained equity market drawdown of the magnitude flagged in Berkshire's SEC f...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity: Berkshire Hathaway announced acquisition of Taylor Morrison for $72.50 per share in an $8.5B all-cash deal
- Earnings surprise: +2.74% EPS beat and +0.8% revenue beat in latest report
- Equity market drawdown risk: ~$400bn+ investment portfolio in publicly traded equities vulnerable to 30% correction