BRK.B
Berkshire Hathaway Inc Class B
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 592.94
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 508.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 595.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive annual insurance underwriting losses accompanied by shrinking fl...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 29% | 100 / 100 | 29.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 21% | 10 / 100 | 2.1 |
| Weighted conviction | 62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 EPS beat of 17.35% (actual 6.02 vs est. 5.13)
- Book value per share CAGR of 18.1% from 1965-2025
- Apple concentration representing ~40% of equity portfolio