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BIRG

Bank of Ireland Group plc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-11 Data 32 days old EUR 17.13 Financial Services - Banks - RegionalAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
53

Position levels

Currenttoday
EUR 17.13
Buy <=wait / entry
EUR 14.20
Trim >=take some off
EUR 17.80
Thesis breakA confirmed miss against the EUR 3.3 billion-plus 2026 net interest income guidance...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case18%100 / 10018.0
Base case52%62 / 10032.2
Bear case30%10 / 1003.0
Weighted conviction53 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Strong Q1 2026 performance with loan growth and asset quality
  • Reaffirmation of 2026 guidance and financial targets
  • Cash dividend of EUR 0.45
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.