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BIRG

Bank of Ireland Group plc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today EUR 17.13 Financial Services - Banks - RegionalAWAIT ENTRY
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Position levels

Currenttoday
EUR 17.13
Buy <=wait / entry
EUR 14.83
Trim >=take some off
EUR 17.50
Thesis breakThe thesis would be invalidated by a downgrade to the 2026 net interest income g...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case19%100 / 10019.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case30%10 / 1003.0
Weighted conviction54 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Reaffirmation of 2026 full-year guidance following strong Q1 performance
  • Improvement in CET1 ratio to 15.5% and reduction in non-performing exposures to 2.0%
  • Strong loan growth and asset quality metrics reported in Q1 2026
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.