BAC
Bank of America Corp
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 61.95
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 51.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 63.00
Thesis breakA formal Federal Reserve or OCC action that materially reduces Bank of America's...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Raised FY26 NII guidance to +6 - 8% YoY
- Management raised medium-term ROTCE target to 16 - 18%
- Recent insider net selling noted alongside earnings date