Coverage / ATI / Trade Card

ATI

ATI Inc

SPECULATIVE BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old USD 227.84 Industrials - Manufacturing - Metal FabricationAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
45

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 227.84
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 168.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 235.00
Thesis breakA downward revision to ATI's full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA or EPS guidance, or ...
-

Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case9%100 / 1009.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case40%10 / 1004.0
Weighted conviction45 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY

Top risks

  • 5-year strategic material supply agreement with BWXT for Navy nuclear program
  • Raised full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $1,010M-$1,060M
  • Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin expansion to 20.1% (+310 bps YoY)
Read full report →

Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.