Coverage / ATI / Trade Card

ATI

ATI Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 187.44 Industrials - Manufacturing - Metal FabricationAWAIT ENTRY
51

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 187.44
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 156.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 200.00
Thesis breakATI reports a quarter that misses the raised 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $1...
-

Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case15%100 / 10015.0
Base case53%62 / 10032.9
Bear case32%10 / 1003.2
Weighted conviction51 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • 5-year BWXT strategic material supply agreement for Navy nuclear program
  • Raised full year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $1,010M-$1,060M
  • Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $1.00 (33% YoY growth) and 310 bps EBITDA margin expansion
Read full report →

Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.