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ALAB

Astera Labs Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-11 Data 12 days old USD 317.23 AWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
57

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 317.23
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 241.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 355.00
Thesis breakA Q3 2026 revenue print at the low end of the $540 - 560 million guided range or b...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case23%100 / 10023.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case26%10 / 1002.6
Weighted conviction57 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Completed the acquisition of Aixscale Photonics
  • Reported Q2 revenue of $392.4 million, up 104% year-over-year
  • Provided Q3 revenue guidance of $540 - 560 million with 40% sequential growth
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.