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ACHR

Archer Aviation Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-11 Data 12 days old USD 6.26 AWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
53

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 6.26
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 4.83
Trim >=take some off
USD 7.50
Thesis breakA material slip in Midnight type certification beyond 2028 combined with a disco...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case19%100 / 10019.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case32%10 / 1003.2
Weighted conviction53 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • M&A activity: Acquisition of Boeing's Wisk Aero, Insitu and SkyGrid subsidiaries with Boeing taking ownership stake
  • Government or defence contract momentum: New autonomous VTOL platform with Anduril including Thunder defense variant
  • Strategic partnership: Halo hybrid-electric VTOL with Marubeni Aerospace in Japan
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