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LON:ARBB

Arbuthnot Banking Group Ord Shs

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-13 Market data 2 days old 868.90p Financial Services - Banks - RegionalAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
868.90p
Buy <=wait / entry
733.33p
Trim >=take some off
900.00p
Thesis breakA confirmed cut to the ordinary dividend, a breach of disclosed group capital ta...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case32%100 / 10032.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • First-half profit before tax increased to approximately GBP 11.0m with resilient earnings reported
  • Board recommending final dividend of 31p per share alongside raised dividend policy
  • Delivering loan growth across the group with EPS of GBX 49.90
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

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