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APTV

Aptiv PLC

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 49.55 Consumer Cyclical - Auto - PartsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 49.55
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 45.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 60.00
Thesis breakThe thesis is invalidated if Aptiv cuts its 2026 full-year EPS guidance below th...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Spin-off of Electrical Distribution Systems business into Versigent completed April 1 2026 with 1:3 distribution ratio
  • Record Q1 2026 U.S. GAAP revenue of $5.1 billion and adjusted diluted EPS of $1.71
  • Full year 2025 record revenue of $20.4 billion and adjusted diluted EPS of $7.82
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