APTV
Aptiv PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 49.55
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 45.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 60.00
Thesis breakThe thesis is invalidated if Aptiv cuts its 2026 full-year EPS guidance below th...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Spin-off of Electrical Distribution Systems business into Versigent completed April 1 2026 with 1:3 distribution ratio
- Record Q1 2026 U.S. GAAP revenue of $5.1 billion and adjusted diluted EPS of $1.71
- Full year 2025 record revenue of $20.4 billion and adjusted diluted EPS of $7.82