AMAT
Applied Materials Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 540.04
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 461.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 585.00
Thesis breakA publicly disclosed cancellation or material delay of the Besi partnership, the...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 64 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Expanded strategic partnership with Besi including Besi engineers joining Applied's EPIC Center for hybrid bonding and chip integration technologies
- Acquisition of NEXX to broaden advanced packaging portfolio
- R&D pact with SK hynix to accelerate next-generation DRAM and high-bandwidth memory for AI