AAPL
Apple Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 356.27
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 280.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 360.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive reported quarters in which Services revenue declines year on yea...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 19% | 100 / 100 | 19.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 30% | 10 / 100 | 3.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 54 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Broadcom $30 billion multi-year chip development partnership announced July 2026
- Q3 FY2026 EPS beat of 2.02 vs consensus 1.89 and prior year 1.57
- Consistent quarterly EPS beats across FY2025 and FY2026 with YoY growth