LON:AAZ
Anglo Asian Mining Plc
Position levels
Currenttoday
380.00p
Buy <=wait / entry
286.67p
Trim >=take some off
380.00p
Thesis breakA material adverse change in the Azerbaijani PSA framework or operating licence,...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 16% | 100 / 100 | 16.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 36% | 10 / 100 | 3.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY | ||
Top risks
- Transition to copper production from Gilar and Demirli mines in 2025
- Azerbaijan geopolitical risk (HIGH) from SEC filing disclosures
- Commodity price exposure (MEDIUM) from SEC filing disclosures