ADI
Analog Devices Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 409.29
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 365.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 435.00
Thesis breakA material downward revision to forward revenue or margin guidance driven by US ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 54% | 62 / 100 | 33.5 |
| Bear case | 13% | 10 / 100 | 1.3 |
| Weighted conviction | 68 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity: definitive agreement to acquire Alif Semiconductor for $1.35B all-cash plus up to $200M contingent to add AI-native fusion processors
- M&A activity: definitive agreement to acquire Empower Semiconductor for $1.5B all-cash to expand high-density power portfolio for AI compute
- Earnings or guidance changes: Q3 FY26 EPS beat at +3.45 vs estimate +3.34 with revenue 4.02B and raised Q4 outlook