AMPX
Amprius Technologies Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 9.67
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 8.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 14.00
Thesis breakA clearly announced dilutive equity raise at a material discount to the prevaili...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 29% | 100 / 100 | 29.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 20% | 10 / 100 | 2.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 63 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Manufacturing partnership with Nanotech Energy establishing domestic production pathway for silicon battery cells targeting defense customers
- $75 million Department of War grant to scale NDAA-compliant high-energy density battery production
- Raised 2026 guidance amid improving manufacturing economics and Q2 FY26 revenue of 34.03M