AMPX
Amprius Technologies Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 11.85
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 9.17
Trim >=take some off
USD 13.50
Thesis breakA reset of full-year 2026 revenue guidance lower at the Q3 2026 print, a further...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 23% | 100 / 100 | 23.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 28% | 10 / 100 | 2.8 |
| Weighted conviction | 56 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Record Q2 2026 revenue of $34 million with raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance
- Strong Buy consensus from 9-11 analysts with average 12-month price targets of $23.00-$23.71
- Early-stage company with history of financial losses and expectation of continuing losses for the foreseeable future