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APH

Amphenol Corp

BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 160.70 Technology - Hardware, Equipment & PartsAWAIT ENTRY
73

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 160.70
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 135.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 175.00
Thesis breakThe thesis is invalidated by a material escalation of China tariffs or export co...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case40%100 / 10040.0
Base case52%62 / 10032.2
Bear case8%10 / 1000.8
Weighted conviction73 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Completed acquisition of CommScope's CCS business
  • Record Q1 2026 sales of $7.6 billion (58% YoY) and orders of $9.4 billion (book-to-bill 1.24:1) exceeding guidance
  • Strong organic growth in IT datacom market plus contributions from acquisition program
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.