APH
Amphenol Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 169.18
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 145.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 185.00
Thesis breakA guidance cut at the next quarterly release combined with datacom order growth ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 53% | 62 / 100 | 32.9 |
| Bear case | 21% | 10 / 100 | 2.1 |
| Weighted conviction | 61 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Completed acquisition of CommScope's CCS business
- Record Q1 2026 sales of $7.6 billion (up 58%) and adjusted diluted EPS of $1.06 (up 68%)
- Record orders of $9.4 billion with book-to-bill ratio of 1.24:1