APH

Amphenol Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 79.62 Technology - Hardware, Equipment & PartsAWAIT ENTRY

ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed

Position levels

Currenttoday

USD 79.62

Buy <=wait / entry

USD 76.00

Trim >=take some off

USD 92.00

Thesis breakA multi-quarter datacom order decline combined with confirmed gross margin compr...

Scenario-weighted conviction

	Probability	Score	Contribution
Bull case	26%	100 / 100	26.0
Base case	53%	62 / 100	32.9
Bear case	21%	10 / 100	2.1
Weighted conviction			61 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

AI data center optics alliance agreement and strong demand for AI applications driving backlog growth
Acquisition program contributing to 2026 sales outlook and backlog increase
Q2 FY26 earnings beat (EPS +0.68 vs +0.6 est) with post-split Q3 guidance of $0.70 - $0.71 adjusted diluted EPS

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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.