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APH

Amphenol Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 169.18 Technology - Hardware, Equipment & PartsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
61

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 169.18
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 145.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 185.00
Thesis breakA guidance cut at the next quarterly release combined with datacom order growth ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case53%62 / 10032.9
Bear case21%10 / 1002.1
Weighted conviction61 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Completed acquisition of CommScope's CCS business
  • Record Q1 2026 sales of $7.6 billion (up 58%) and adjusted diluted EPS of $1.06 (up 68%)
  • Record orders of $9.4 billion with book-to-bill ratio of 1.24:1
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