AMGN
Amgen Inc
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 385.16
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 316.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 390.00
Thesis breakSEC disclosure of a material loss of exclusivity event such as accelerated biosi...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 23% | 100 / 100 | 23.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 27% | 10 / 100 | 2.7 |
| Weighted conviction | 57 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Completed acquisition of Horizon Therapeutics for $27.8 billion equity value
- Q1 2026 total revenues increased 6% to $8.6 billion with product sales up 4%
- Sixteen products delivered double-digit sales growth and strong 2026 revenue guidance of $37.0-38.4 billion