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AWR

American States Water Co

BUY 2026-10-04 Data 8 days old USD 82.82 Utilities - Regulated WaterAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 82.82
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 76.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 87.00
Thesis breakThe investment thesis would be invalidated by a materially adverse CPUC general ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case37%100 / 10037.0
Base case47%62 / 10029.1
Bear case16%10 / 1001.6
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Pending $5.25M acquisition of new water system by GSWC subsidiary
  • ASUS government/defence contracted services revenue +$6.2M and EPS guidance $0.63-0.67 for FY2026
  • Q2 2026 consolidated EPS +25.3% to $1.09 with water segment +$11.4M revenue
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.