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AWR

American States Water Co

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 15 days old USD 87.39 AWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
51

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 87.39
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 79.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 90.00
Thesis breakAn adverse California Public Utilities Commission rate-case decision that materi...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case16%100 / 10016.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case33%10 / 1003.3
Weighted conviction51 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 2026 EPS beat expectations by $0.17 with 25% surge
  • ASUS segment military base water/wastewater contracts with annual price adjustments
  • Analyst consensus Hold rating and $77.00 average 12-month price target implying -11.89% downside
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