Coverage / AXP / Trade Card

AXP

American Express Co

BUY 2026-08-29 Data 14 days old USD 333.20 Financial Services - Financial - Credit ServicesAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
72

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 333.20
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 296.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 360.00
Thesis breakA formal cut to the reaffirmed 9%-10% full-year 2026 revenue growth band, or two...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case40%100 / 10040.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case10%10 / 1001.0
Weighted conviction72 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Multiyear global payments agreement with NFL
  • Raised FY2026 revenue growth guidance to 10%
  • Q2 2026 EPS beat of $0.12 with 10% YoY revenue growth
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.