AEP
American Electric Power Company Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 123.25
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 115.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 131.00
Thesis breakAEP printing 2026 operating earnings below the bottom of the $6.25 to $6.55 guid...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 43% | 100 / 100 | 43.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 8% | 10 / 100 | 0.8 |
| Weighted conviction | 74 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Strategic partnership with Quanta Services including Cooperation and Commitment Agreement for 765 kV transmission projects and Development Services Agreement for transformer manufacturing
- Raised full-year 2026 operating earnings guidance to $6.25 to $6.55 per share from prior $6.15 to $6.45 range
- Secured approximately 13 GW of gas-fired turbine capacity with additional 10 GW under evaluation