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AMZN

Amazon.com Inc

BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 267.44 Consumer Cyclical - Specialty RetailAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
72

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 267.44
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 228.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 275.00
Thesis breakQ2 2026 operating income printing below the $20 billion floor of guidance, or AW...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case40%100 / 10040.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case10%10 / 1001.0
Weighted conviction72 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 2026 EPS of $5.75 beat consensus $1.82 by $3.93 with revenue $200.61B beating estimates
  • Multi-billion dollar fiber optic supply agreement with Corning (GLW) announced June 2026
  • Q2 operating income guidance raised to $20.0-24.0B versus $19.2B prior year
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

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