AMRN
Amarin Corporation PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 11.67
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 9.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 13.00
Thesis breakThe thesis would be invalidated by termination or material restructuring of the ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Exclusive licensing and supply agreement with Recordati for VAZKEPA commercialization across 59 European countries including $25M upfront and up to $150M milestones
- Supply agreement extending to 2039 with Recordati
- Targeted $70M annual cost savings from global operations streamlining