MO
Altria Group Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 68.44
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 59.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 70.00
Thesis breakA binding FDA rule prohibiting menthol cigarettes in the United States, or a fin...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 36% | 100 / 100 | 36.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 67 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Analyst consensus HOLD from 14 analysts with mean price targets of $70.44-$70.78
- Q2 2026 earnings call and quarterly results reporting
- Tobacco sector peer comparison including CRON and other competitors