GOOGL
Alphabet Inc Class A
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 345.56
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 283.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 360.00
Thesis breakGoogle Cloud growth decelerates below 15% year-on-year for two consecutive quart...
-
Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 19% | 10 / 100 | 1.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 65 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- +216.32% EPS surprise and +2.81% revenue surprise versus analyst forecasts
- Google Cloud revenues increased $15.5 billion YoY primarily from infrastructure and platform services growth
- Strong Buy consensus from 30 analysts with average 12-month price target of $422.32