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ALM

Almonty Industries Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 7.63 Basic Materials - Other Precious MetalsIN BUY ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 7.63
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 8.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 14.00
Thesis breakA sustained Sangdong production shortfall versus contracted volumes, a named off...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case30%100 / 10030.0
Base case52%62 / 10032.2
Bear case18%10 / 1001.8
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Extended offtake agreement and expanded supply agreement with Global Tungsten for increased production
  • Sangdong mine moving into commercial operation with multiple supply agreements
  • Q2 FY26 revenue of 42.99M (+498% YoY) and earnings of 181.8M with 422.89% profit margin
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