ALM
Almonty Industries Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 17.96
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 11.50
Trim >=take some off
USD 19.50
Thesis breakA material delay to first production at Sangdong beyond the company's disclosed ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 17% | 100 / 100 | 17.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 34% | 10 / 100 | 3.4 |
| Weighted conviction | 51 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Expanded long-term supply agreement with Global Tungsten for increased production
- Authorized $300 million share buyback plan over three years for up to 14.4 million shares
- Q2 2026 revenue increased 498% YoY to $43.0 million with income from mining operations of $26.1 million