ALL
Allstate Corp
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 264.08
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 235.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 275.00
Thesis breakA 2026 catastrophe year producing aggregate catastrophe and severe convective st...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 29% | 100 / 100 | 29.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 21% | 10 / 100 | 2.1 |
| Weighted conviction | 62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Quarterly common stock dividend of $1.08 declared payable July 2026
- Q2 2026 earnings conference call scheduled for August 6 2026 with Q1 releases available
- Nationwide completes acquisition of Allstate Employer Stop Loss business unit