Coverage / ALL / Trade Card

ALL

Allstate Corp

BUY 2026-08-29 Data 14 days old USD 260.49 Financial Services - Insurance - Property & CasualtyAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
74

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 260.49
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 235.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 275.00
Thesis breakThe thesis is invalidated if a full-year combined ratio above 100 is reported al...
-

Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case43%100 / 10043.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case8%10 / 1000.8
Weighted conviction74 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 2026 earnings beat with adjusted EPS $8.99 vs consensus $6.063 and net income up 55.9% YoY to $3.24B
  • Completed sale of Employer Voluntary Benefits Business and Group Health Business
  • $1.0B share repurchases plus $280M dividends in Q2 2026 as part of $3.5B shareholder returns over past year
Read full report →

Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.