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ALLE

Allegion PLC

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 168.94 Industrials - Security & Protection ServicesAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 168.94
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 151.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 178.00
Thesis breakA cut to FY2026 EPS guidance below USD8.50, a Mexican sourcing disruption that f...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case32%100 / 10032.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Acquisition of ELATEC on July 1 2025 expanding global electronics portfolio and channel relationships
  • Multiple acquisitions completed in 2025 with aggregate consideration of $631.6 million generating $93.0 million in post-acquisition revenues
  • Q1 2026 reported revenue growth of 9.7% and organic growth of 2.6% with FY2026 reported revenue outlook affirmed at 5-7%
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.