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ACI

Albertsons Companies Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old USD 12.01 Consumer Defensive - Grocery StoresAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
54

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 12.01
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 11.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 14.00
Thesis breakMaterialisation of SNAP subsidy cuts alongside negative same-store sales and a d...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case20%100 / 10020.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case30%10 / 1003.0
Weighted conviction54 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • 13% common stock dividend increase and remaining share repurchase authorization raised to $2 billion
  • Q4 and FY2025 results showing identical sales +0.7% and digital sales +16% but net loss of $(481) million due to $600 million opioid settlement charge
  • FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance trimmed to $3.55 - $3.63 billion
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.