ALB
Albemarle Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 129.61
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 106.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 160.00
Thesis breakA material reset of raised full-year 2026 guidance combined with sustained lithi...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 66 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 earnings beat with net sales of $1.74 billion up 31%
- Raised 2026 guidance following Q2 results
- Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA of $664 million up 148% YoY