APD
Air Products and Chemicals Inc
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 294.89
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 250.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 310.00
Thesis breakA US federal policy reversal that materially curtails green hydrogen offtake com...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- NASA supply contracts for liquid hydrogen exceeding $140 million
- Commissioning started on NEOM Green Hydrogen Production Facility
- Advanced negotiations with Yara International for low emission ammonia projects