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LON:AIBG

AIB Group plc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today 880.00p Financial Services - Banks - RegionalAWAIT ENTRY
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
880.00p
Buy <=wait / entry
740.00p
Trim >=take some off
940.00p
Thesis breakA confirmed 15-20% Irish housing correction coupled with NII tracking materially...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Recent quarterly EPS beats (0.364p actual vs 0.333p estimate on Jul 30 2026; 0.81p actual vs 0.338p on Mar 04 2026)
  • Annual earnings growth of 29.7% with net margins of 47.2% and ROE of 15.3%
  • Revenue growth averaging 13.7% per year
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.