LON:AIBG

AIB Group plc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-13 Market data 2 days old 978.00p Financial Services - Banks - RegionalREDUCE ZONE

ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed

Position levels

Currenttoday

978.00p

Buy <=wait / entry

805.00p

Trim >=take some off

975.00p

Thesis breakA confirmed Irish residential property price correction exceeding 10% combined w...

Scenario-weighted conviction

	Probability	Score	Contribution
Bull case	25%	100 / 100	25.0
Base case	50%	62 / 100	31.0
Bear case	25%	10 / 100	2.5
Weighted conviction			59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

Q1 2026 trading update with all 2026 guidance reiterated
Gross loans up 1.7% to EUR 73.5bn and new lending up 11% to EUR 3.6bn
Other income up 8% and cost-income ratio at 44%

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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.