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AVAV

AeroVironment, Inc.

BUY 2026-10-04 Data 8 days old USD 140.82 Industrials - Aerospace & DefenseAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 140.82
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 133.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 185.00
Thesis breakLoss of a marquee U.S. Army counter-UAS or Switchblade programme award, or a mat...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case16%10 / 1001.6
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • $464.8 million U.S. Army laser contract
  • Record funded backlog of $1.5 billion, up 37% y/y
  • Q1 FY27 revenue $480.5M and EPS 59c beating consensus
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.