AMD
Advanced Micro Devices Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 585.30
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 500.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 660.00
Thesis breakA named hyperscaler publicly substituting AMD accelerators with a competing vend...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 11% | 100 / 100 | 11.0 |
| Base case | 53% | 62 / 100 | 32.9 |
| Bear case | 36% | 10 / 100 | 3.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 47 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY | ||
Top risks
- AMD to acquire World Labs in $8.2 billion all-stock deal to advance AI compute
- Expanded strategic partnership with Meta to deploy 6 gigawatts of AMD GPUs
- Up to $5 billion investment in Anthropic as part of computing power deal