ADNT
Adient PLC
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 21.04
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 18.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 23.00
Thesis breakA confirmed loss of a major OEM seating programme, a sustained drop in quarterly...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Raised FY2026 guidance for revenue to $14.6B, Adj-EBITDA to $880M and FCF to $125M
- Q1 2026 Adj-EBITDA of $207M with margin expansion to 5.7%
- Legacy contracts resetting to more favorable terms starting fiscal 2026